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Deshaun Watson

Deshaun Watson Carries
Player Prop Week 10

Baltimore Ravens vs Cleveland Browns

Deshaun Watson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 4.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 4.5 @ +124 before it was bet up to 4.5 @ +105.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Cleveland Browns to be the 7th-most run-oriented offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 41.9% run rate.

The predictive model expects the Browns to be the 2nd-fastest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) right now, with opposing offenses averaging 26.81 seconds per play.

The projections expect Deshaun Watson to accumulate 4.3 carries in this week's game, on average: the 8th-most among all QBs.

In regards to run-blocking (and the ramifications it has on all ground game statistics), the O-line of the Cleveland Browns ranks as the 10th-best in the NFL last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line implies a passing game script for the Browns, who are -6-point underdogs.

When it comes to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Baltimore's group of DTs has been outstanding this year, ranking as the 2nd-best in football.

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