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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 94.5 (-130/+100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 89.5 @ -112 before it was bet up to 94.5 @ -130.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-most run-heavy team among all teams this week with a 49.1% run rate, given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics.

In this contest, Derrick Henry is anticipated by the projection model to slot into the 97th percentile when it comes to RBs with 20.0 carries.

Out of all running backs, Derrick Henry grades out in the 91st percentile for rush attempts this year, accounting for 61.7% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

Derrick Henry has run for quite a few more adjusted yards per game (109.0) this season than he did last season (68.0).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.55 seconds per play based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.

The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.

This year, the deficient Texans run defense has surrendered a colossal 4.13 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC) to the opposition's running game: the 27th-largest rate in the NFL.

The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the 5th-best LB corps in the NFL this year in regard to stopping the run.

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