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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 6

Tennessee Titans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 65.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 64.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 65.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Titans as the 4th-most run-heavy team in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment with a 42.5% run rate.
  • The projections expect Derrick Henry to total 16.7 rush attempts in this game, on average, ranking him in the 92nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Among all RBs, Derrick Henry grades out in the 98th percentile for rush attempts this year, making up 71.6% of the workload in his offense's run game.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Tennessee Titans boast a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and the leading projections forecast their pass/run mix to tilt 4.0% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
  • A throwing game script is implied by the Titans being a -5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The predictive model expects the Titans to run the 4th-fewest plays on offense on the slate this week with 62.6 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 6th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, averaging just 53.6 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry has rushed for significantly fewer adjusted yards per game (62.0) this season than he did last season (91.0).

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