Derrick Henry Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:51 AM EST

Analysis

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 86.5 (-125/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 79.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 86.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.0% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to accrue 19.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has garnered 79.6% of his team's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has generated 90.0 yards per game on the ground since the start of last season, one of the largest marks in the league among running backs (99th percentile).
Derrick Henry has been among the top RBs in the NFL at grinding out extra rushing yardage, averaging a stellar 3.56 yards-after-contact since the start of last season while checking in at the 91st percentile.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.

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