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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 18

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 50.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 48.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 50.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • At the present time, the 9th-most run-heavy offense in football (41.6% in a neutral context) according to the projections is the Titans.
  • Our trusted projections expect Derrick Henry to garner 15.9 rush attempts in this contest, on balance, putting him in the 82nd percentile among running backs.
  • Derrick Henry grades out as one of the best running backs in the NFL at picking up extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.07 yards-after-contact this year while checking in at the 78th percentile.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -3.5-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • The leading projections forecast the Titans to run the 3rd-fewest plays on offense among all teams this week with 63.0 plays, accounting for their underlying propensities and game dynamics.
  • The 5th-fewest plays in the NFL have been run by the Tennessee Titans this year (just 55.0 per game on average).
  • After accounting for 80.1% of his offense's rush attempts last year, Derrick Henry has played a smaller part in the ground game this year, now comprising just 65.7%.
  • Derrick Henry's 62.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year signifies a material diminishment in his running proficiency over last year's 91.0 figure.

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