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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 59.5 (-143/+110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 63.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 59.5 @ +110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the Tennessee Titans to be the 10th-most run-oriented offense on the slate this week with a 43.9% run rate, based on their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect Derrick Henry to notch 15.1 rush attempts in this game, on balance, ranking him in the 82nd percentile when it comes to RBs.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 5th-most adjusted yards in football (131 per game) against the Seattle Seahawks defense this year.
  • The Seahawks safeties rank as the 31st-worst collection of safeties in the NFL this year in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A throwing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.
  • Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by the model to call just 61.8 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.
  • The Tennessee Titans have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 54.9 plays per game.
  • While Derrick Henry has received 66.1% of his offense's rushing play calls in games he has played this year, our trusted projections expect him to be much less involved in Tennessee's ground game this week at 56.0%.
  • Derrick Henry has rushed for quite a few less adjusted yards per game (61.0) this season than he did last season (91.0).

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