My Account Log Out
 
 
Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 104.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 100.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 104.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to total 24.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most yards in the league (158 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.
  • The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this week (74.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (87.0% in games he has played).
  • Derrick Henry has run for a lot fewer yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (105.0).

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™