Derrick Henry Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 31, 2022 2:51 AM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 104.5 (-155/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 100.5 @ -145 before it was bet up to 104.5 @ -155.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to total 24.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Opposing teams have run for the 2nd-most yards in the league (158 per game) against the Houston Texans defense this year.
The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.
The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this week (74.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (87.0% in games he has played).
Derrick Henry has run for a lot fewer yards per game (88.0) this season than he did last season (105.0).

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