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Derrick Henry
NFL · Player Props
Derrick Henry
RB · Tennessee Titans
Rushing Yards
Jacksonville Jaguars vs Tennessee Titans · Week 18, 2022 Updated Jan 8, 2023 1:11 AM UTC
NFL Props Derrick Henry Rushing Yards

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 93.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 90.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 93.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 5th-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 47.2% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 3rd-quickest paced defense in the NFL (adjusted for context) at the moment, leading opposing offenses to average 27.47 seconds per snap.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to notch 23.8 carries in this game, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • Derrick Henry has been given 84.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • Derrick Henry has been among the best running backs in the league at grinding out extra ground yardage, averaging a stellar 3.67 yards-after-contact this year while grading out in the 92nd percentile.
Favors Under
  • The Tennessee Titans will be rolling out backup quarterback Joshua Dobbs this week, which generally means fewer pass attempts and more rush attempts.
  • The Titans are a 6.5-point underdog this week, likely leading to a passing game script.
  • The weatherman calls for 2-mph wind in this game. Low wind usually means higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
  • Derrick Henry has rushed for a lot fewer yards per game (90.0) this year than he did last year (105.0).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has had the 9th-best efficiency against opposing rushing attacks this year, allowing just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
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