Derrick Henry Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 15

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Los Angeles Chargers vs Tennessee Titans · Week 15, 2022

Updated Dec 19, 2022 4:01 AM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 100.5 (-130/+105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 98.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 100.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 6th-most run-centric team in the league (context-neutralized) at the moment with a 42.9% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to accrue 23.9 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has received 85.0% of his offense's rush attempts this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has been among the leading running backs in football at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging an impressive 3.69 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 91st percentile.
The Los Angeles Chargers defense has had the worst efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding 5.61 yards-per-carry.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 3-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 5th-lowest volume of plays run among all games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the 2nd-least plays in the NFL this year, averaging a measly 52.8 plays per game.
The weather forecast calls for 0-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, increased TD potential, and better passing effectiveness.
Derrick Henry has run for many fewer yards per game (90.0) this season than he did last season (105.0).

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