Derrick Henry Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 14

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Rushing Yards

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars · Week 14, 2022

Updated Dec 11, 2022 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 89.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 89.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 47.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to garner 24.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has earned 84.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
Derrick Henry has run for substantially fewer yards per game (88.0) this year than he did last year (105.0).
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles project as the 4th-best group of DTs in football this year with their run defense.

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