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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 14

Tennessee Titans vs Jacksonville Jaguars

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 89.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 83.5 @ -114 before it was bet up to 89.5 @ -110.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The Titans are a 3.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating a rushing game script.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-most run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 47.7% run rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to garner 24.6 rush attempts this week, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • Derrick Henry has earned 84.5% of his offense's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
  • The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the NFL). This quickens the pace, leading to more volume and stat production.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 52.7 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry has run for substantially fewer yards per game (88.0) this year than he did last year (105.0).
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense has produced the 9th-best efficiency against opposing running games this year, allowing just 4.37 yards-per-carry.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defensive tackles project as the 4th-best group of DTs in football this year with their run defense.

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