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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Rushing TD
Player Prop Week 13

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans

Derrick Henry Rushing TD Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-109/-122).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +128 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -109.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

Derrick Henry has been given 88.6% of his offense's red zone carries this year, placing him in the 99th percentile among RBs.

Derrick Henry has run for 0.91 TDs per game on the ground this year (on average), one of the highest figures in the NFL among running backs (98th percentile).

The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

The Tennessee Titans have used some form of misdirection on 50.7% of their play-calls since the start of last season (10th-most in football), which masks an offenses true intentions and may make them more effective.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.

The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.

The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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