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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-156/+120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 0.5 @ +128 before it was bet down to 0.5 @ +120.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • Derrick Henry's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 90.7% to 93.9%.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.
  • Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.
  • The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.
  • Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.
  • Derrick Henry has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, playing on 55.1% of snaps vs just 43.5% last season.

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