My Account Log Out

reorder

Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 9

Pittsburgh Steelers vs Tennessee Titans

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-175/+145).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Tennessee Titans offensive approach to skew 1.1% more towards the passing game than it did last year (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Tim Kelly now calling the plays.

A passing game script is implied by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this game.

Derrick Henry's receiving reliability have gotten better this season, with his Adjusted Completion Rate increasing from 84.3% to 100.0%.

As it relates to safeties in pass coverage, Pittsburgh's safety corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 5th-worst in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Titans to pass on 50.8% of their downs: the 3rd-lowest rate on the slate this week.

At the present time, the 5th-slowest paced team in the league (in a neutral context) according to the projection model is the Titans.

Derrick Henry's 9.8 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that calculates high-value offensive involvement) has been notably lower this season than it was last season at 15.2.

This year, the imposing Pittsburgh Steelers defense has conceded a puny 62.3% Adjusted Completion Rate vs. opposing RBs: the lowest rate in football.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™