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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 16

Tennessee Titans vs Seattle Seahawks

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-150/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

A throwing game script is suggested by the Titans being a -3-point underdog in this week's contest.

Derrick Henry's 93.1% Adjusted Completion% this season indicates an impressive improvement in his receiving proficiency over last season's 84.3% mark.

The Seahawks safeties profile as the 6th-worst safety corps in the NFL this year in covering pass-catchers.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Titans as the 10th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 56.1% pass rate, based on their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are predicted by the model to call just 61.8 plays on offense in this game: the fewest on the slate this week.

The Tennessee Titans have run the 4th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 54.9 plays per game.

Derrick Henry's 10.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced statistic that assesses high-value offensive involvement) has been significantly worse this year than it was last year at 15.2.

The Titans offensive line ranks as the 7th-worst in the league this year in protecting the QB, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.

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