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Derrick Henry
NFL · Player Props
Derrick Henry
RB · Tennessee Titans
Receptions
Buffalo Bills vs Tennessee Titans · Week 2, 2022 Updated Sep 20, 2022 3:00 AM EST
NFL Props Derrick Henry Receptions

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+183/-262).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ +183.

Favors Over
  • The Titans are a heavy 10-point underdog in this week's game, likely leading to an extreme passing game script.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 5th-most plays in the league since the start of last season, totaling a whopping 65.3 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry has run a route on 40.0% of his offense's passing plays since the start of last season, putting him in the 80th percentile among running backs.
  • The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the league. Bringing an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
  • The Buffalo Bills have stacked the box against opponents on 19.5% of their plays since the start of last season, 9th-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented team in the league (in a neutral context) right now with a 56.9% pass rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 2nd-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.4 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The weather report calls for 13-mph wind in this game. High wind typically means reduced pass volume (and higher run volume) and lessened passing efficiency.
  • Opposing offenses have averaged 32.4 pass attempts per game against the Buffalo Bills defense since the start of last season: 8th-least in the NFL.
  • The Tennessee Titans O-line ranks as the 7th-worst in football since the start of last season in pass protection, which has a harmful impact on all passing game statistics across the board.
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