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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receptions
Player Prop Week 10

Tennessee Titans vs Denver Broncos

Derrick Henry Receptions Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (+152/-200).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -189 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -200.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Opposing quarterbacks have averaged 38.9 pass attempts per game versus the Denver Broncos defense this year: 4th-most in football.

THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to notch 3.2 targets this week, on average, ranking in the 80th percentile among running backs.

Derrick Henry has been a big part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 10.8% this year, which ranks in the 87th percentile among running backs.

The Denver Broncos defensive front has gotten pressure on opposing quarterbacks 2.53 seconds after the snap (on average), ranking as the 6th-most sluggish in the league since the start of last season.

The Tennessee Titans have been faced with a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the league. Keeping an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 5th-least pass-heavy team among all teams this week with a 50.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.

THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 4th-smallest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the NFL this year, totaling a mere 52.0 plays per game.

The Tennessee Titans offensive line profiles as the worst in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a harmful effect on all passing attack statistics across the board.

Derrick Henry's ball-catching skills have declined this year, with his Completion% falling off from 87.9% to 82.4%.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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