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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 5

Cincinnati Bengals vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-125/-105).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 7.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 7.5 @ -125.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Baltimore O-line ranks as the 4th-best in the league this year in protecting the passer, which has a positive influence on all passing attack metrics across the board.

Derrick Henry's 7.4 adjusted yards per target this season shows a substantial progression in his pass-catching ability over last season's 6.4 figure.

With an impressive 9.79 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (85th percentile) since the start of last season, Derrick Henry rates among the leading pass-catching running backs in the league in space.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Given their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.9% of their downs: the 2nd-lowest frequency among all teams this week.

Given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics, the Baltimore Ravens are forecasted by the projections to run only 61.4 offensive plays in this contest: the 2nd-lowest number on the slate this week.

Windy weather conditions (like the 14-mph being predicted in this game) usually mean worse passing efficiency, lower air attack volume, and increased rush volume.

Opposing teams have averaged 30.0 pass attempts per game versus the Bengals defense this year: 6th-fewest in the league.

Derrick Henry's possession skills have tailed off this season, with his Adjusted Completion% decreasing from 90.7% to 85.4%.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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