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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 6.5 (-120/-108).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 5.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 6.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run among all games this week at 130.5 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

Derrick Henry's 9.7 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a noteworthy growth in his pass-catching skills over last year's 6.4 figure.

Derrick Henry's talent in generating extra yardage have been refined this year, accumulating 11.11 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) compared to a mere 9.82 rate last year.

The Steelers defense has given up the 6th-most adjusted receiving yards per game in the league (35.0) to running backs this year.

This year, the anemic Steelers defense has given up the 3rd-most adjusted yards-per-target in the league to opposing running backs: a whopping 7.03 yards.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game's line indicates an extreme rushing game script for the Ravens, who are a heavy favorite by 9.5 points.

The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 2nd-least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 47.9% pass rate, accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics.

The Baltimore Ravens have called the 7th-fewest plays in football this year, averaging just 56.5 plays per game.

Derrick Henry's 57.8% Snap% this year indicates a noteable improvement in his offensive utilization over last year's 43.0% rate.

As it relates to linebackers in covering receivers, Pittsburgh's group of LBs has been great this year, projecting as the 9th-best in the league.

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