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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 12.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 9.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 12.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing offenses of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. zero wind) inside this dome, while run volume may fall-off.
  • Derrick Henry's ball-catching skills have been refined this year, with his Adjusted Completion% jumping from 90.7% to 93.9%.
  • Derrick Henry's 9.7 adjusted yards per target this year indicates a noteable gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 6.4 rate.
  • Derrick Henry's 11.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this year illustrates an impressive boost in his efficiency in space over last year's 9.8% figure.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A running game script is suggested by the Ravens being a 5.5-point favorite in this week's game.
  • The projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the 3rd-least pass-oriented team among all teams this week with a 50.9% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • Our trusted projections expect this game to chug along at the 11th-slowest tempo on the slate this week, averaging 26.55 seconds per play based on the traits of each team and game dynamics.
  • Derrick Henry's 55.1% snap rate this season signifies a remarkable progression in his offensive volume over last season's 43.5% mark.
  • As it relates to air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in just the 24th percentile among RBs this year, averaging just -2.0 per game.

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