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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ +105 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Derrick Henry's possession skills have gotten better this year, with his Adjusted Catch Rate jumping from 90.7% to 93.9%.

Derrick Henry's pass-catching effectiveness has gotten better this season, accumulating 9.67 adjusted yards-per-target vs just 6.39 figure last season.

Derrick Henry's 11.15 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season illustrates a substantial progression in his effectiveness in space over last season's 9.8% mark.

This year, the poor Steelers defense has given up a whopping 38.0 adjusted receiving yards per game versus opposing RBs: the 9th-most in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

Based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Baltimore Ravens to pass on 48.2% of their chances: the 2nd-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

Derrick Henry has been a more integral piece of his team's offense this season, playing on 55.1% of snaps vs just 43.5% last season.

More Derrick Henry Player Props

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