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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 12

Los Angeles Chargers vs Baltimore Ravens

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-114/-114).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 3.5 @ -119 before it was bet up to 5.5 @ -114.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The passing attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm weather conditions (1-mph wind) being forecasted in this game, while rush volume may go down.
  • The Los Angeles Chargers defense has been a notorious pass funnel this year, compelling opposing teams to attempt the 10th-most passes in the NFL (34.8 per game) this year.
  • Derrick Henry's 9.8 adjusted yards per target this year illustrates a noteable boost in his receiving ability over last year's 6.4 mark.
  • Derrick Henry's 11.90 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) this season shows a substantial progression in his efficiency in the open field over last season's 9.8% rate.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to be the least pass-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.4% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
  • The leading projections forecast this game to see the lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 126.7 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Ravens have called the 3rd-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling just 55.6 plays per game.
  • Derrick Henry's 55.8% snap rate this year conveys a remarkable progression in his offensive usage over last year's 43.5% figure.
  • In regards to air yards, Derrick Henry grades out in the lowly 18th percentile among running backs this year, totaling just -3.0 per game.

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