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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 7.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 7.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 7.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical approach.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Derrick Henry's 93.4% Adjusted Completion Rate this year represents an impressive gain in his pass-catching prowess over last year's 84.3% rate.

With an exceptional 11.07 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (98th percentile) this year, Derrick Henry places as one of the best pass-game running backs in the league in space.

The Houston Texans pass defense has allowed the 10th-highest Adjusted Completion% in the league (83%) versus RBs this year (83.0%).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At the present time, the 3rd-least pass-centric team in football (56.5% in a neutral context) according to the predictive model is the Tennessee Titans.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the projection model to call just 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.

When it comes to air yards, Derrick Henry ranks in the lowly 9th percentile among RBs this year, accruing just -4.0 per game.

Derrick Henry's 9.6 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—an advanced stat that measures high-value offensive usage) has been substantially lower this season than it was last season at 15.2.

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