Derrick Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 8

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022

Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:06 PM EST

Analysis

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 11.5 (-110/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
Opposing teams have averaged 37.8 pass attempts per game vs. the Houston Texans defense this year: 10th-most in football.
Derrick Henry's 18.0 WOPR (Weighted Opportunity Rating—a volume statistic that measures high-value offensive involvement) has been substantially better this year than it was last year at 11.8.
Derrick Henry has posted significantly more receiving yards per game (22.0) this year than he did last year (17.0).
Derrick Henry's pass-game effectiveness has gotten better this season, averaging 8.44 yards-per-target compared to just 7.61 rate last season.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 2nd-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 47.7% pass rate, given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans O-line profiles as the 4th-worst in football this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative effect on all pass game stats across the board.
Derrick Henry's sure-handedness have worsened this year, with his Completion% falling off from 87.9% to 81.2%.

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