Derrick Henry Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Receiving Yards

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 15.5 (+105/-135).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 15.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 15.5 @ -135.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to total 3.2 targets this week, on average, placing him in the 80th percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has been an integral part of his team's offense, earning a Target Share of 10.0% this year, which ranks in the 85th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has been among the leading pass-catching RBs this year, averaging an impressive 21.0 yards per game while ranking in the 85th percentile.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-least pass-oriented offense among all teams this week with a 55.5% pass rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans offensive line grades out as the worst in the NFL this year in protecting the quarterback, which has a harmful impact on all passing offense statistics across the board.
Derrick Henry's possession skills have worsened this year, with his Completion% shrinking from 87.9% to 84.0%.
The Philadelphia Eagles pass defense has displayed strong efficiency vs. RBs this year, surrendering 5.26 yards-per-target to the position: the 5th-least in the league.

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