My Account Log Out
 
 
Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 4

Baltimore Ravens vs Buffalo Bills

 
 
 
Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (-104/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 16.5 @ +104 before it was bet up to 16.5 @ -104.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • A running game script is indicated by the Ravens being a 3-point favorite this week.
  • Accounting for their underlying propensities and matchup dynamics, the leading projections forecast the Ravens to run on 51.5% of their plays: the greatest frequency among all teams this week.
  • In this contest, Derrick Henry is expected by the model to secure a spot in the 96th percentile among RBs with 18.5 rush attempts.
  • The Buffalo Bills defensive tackles profile as the 9th-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • Accounting for the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is forecasted by the projection model to see just 123.0 offensive plays run: the 2nd-lowest number among all games this week.
  • After accounting for 65.7% of his offense's carries last year, Derrick Henry has been less involved in the rushing attack this year, now comprising just 55.6%.

  •  
     
     
     
     
    © 2022 EV Analytics   |   Data by WriteNow™