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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 20

Buffalo Bills vs Baltimore Ravens

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 19.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 19.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 19.5 @ -150.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Ravens to be the 2nd-most run-focused offense in the league (adjusted for context) right now with a 45.4% run rate.

The model projects this game to have the smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 127.9 plays, given the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.

In this game, Derrick Henry is expected by the model to place in the 91st percentile among running backs with 20.7 carries.

Among all RBs, Derrick Henry ranks in the 91st percentile for carries this year, making up 62.1% of the workload in his team's rushing attack.

The Bills defensive tackles project as the worst DT corps in football this year with their run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

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