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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 16

Baltimore Ravens vs Pittsburgh Steelers

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (+100/-137).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 19.5 @ -106 before it was bet down to 18.5 @ -137.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The Ravens are a 6.5-point favorite in this week's contest, likely creating a rushing game script.

The projections expect the Ravens as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 51.8% run rate, based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.

Windy weather conditions (like the 16-mph being called for in this game) generally lead to decreased passing efficiency, reduced air attack volume, and higher ground volume.

In this week's game, Derrick Henry is anticipated by the projections to finish in the 95th percentile among running backs with 21.0 rush attempts.

Derrick Henry has garnered 61.7% of his team's rush attempts this year, putting him in the 91st percentile when it comes to RBs.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The predictive model expects the Baltimore Ravens offense to be the 2nd-most sluggish paced team in the league (context-neutralized) at the present time, averaging 29.52 seconds per play.

The Pittsburgh Steelers safeties grade out as the 2nd-best collection of safeties in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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