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Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-102/-128).
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
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This week's spread suggests a running game script for the Ravens, who are favored by 6 points.Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Baltimore Ravens to run on 51.3% of their plays: the highest rate on the slate this week.Our trusted projections expect Derrick Henry to accrue 18.6 rush attempts in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 93rd percentile among running backs.Out of all running backs, Derrick Henry grades out in the 89th percentile for carries this year, making up 59.8% of the workload in his offense's rushing attack.
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FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
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Based on the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 125.9 total plays called: the 5th-fewest among all games this week.Calm weather conditions (like the 4-mph wind being forecasted in this game) generally correlate with better passing efficiency, higher TD potential, higher air volume, and reduced run volume.As it relates to the linebackers' role in run defense, Cincinnati's group of LBs has been terrific this year, grading out as the best in the league.
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