Derrick Henry Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 2

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Carries

Tennessee Titans vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 2, 2023

Updated Sep 18, 2023 2:56 AM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 18.5 (-130/-100).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 18.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 18.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 7th-most run-centric offense in the league (adjusted for context) at the present time with a 41.0% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to accrue 19.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has garnered 79.6% of his team's carries since the start of last season, placing him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The Los Angeles Chargers defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst collection of DEs in the NFL since the start of last season in regard to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Tennessee Titans will have a new play-caller this season in offensive coordinator Tim Kelly, and THE BLITZ projects their pass/run mix to tilt 5.4% more towards passing than it did last season (in a neutral context).
THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans offense as the 8th-most sluggish paced team in football (in a neutral context) at the present time, averaging 29.10 seconds per play.

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