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Derrick Henry

Derrick Henry Carries
Player Prop Week 17

Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 16.5 (+105/-135).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

At the moment, the 3rd-most run-centric team in the NFL (43.5% adjusted for context) according to the model is the Tennessee Titans.

In this game, Derrick Henry is predicted by the projection model to place in the 88th percentile when it comes to running backs with 16.1 carries.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

At a -5.5-point disadvantage, the Titans are underdogs in this week's contest, implying more of an emphasis on throwing than their typical approach.

Given their underlying tendencies and game dynamics, the Tennessee Titans are anticipated by the projection model to call just 64.0 offensive plays in this contest: the 10th-fewest among all teams this week.

The Tennessee Titans have called the 4th-fewest plays in the league this year, averaging just 55.2 plays per game.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) ought to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may drop-off.

Derrick Henry has been a much smaller part of his team's running game this year (65.7% Carry Share in games he has played) than he was last year (80.1%).

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