Derrick Henry Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Carries

Kansas City Chiefs vs Tennessee Titans · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 7, 2022 1:26 AM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 20.5 (-105/-125).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -110 before it was bet down to 20.5 @ -125.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 3rd-most run-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 48.9% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to earn 24.1 carries in this contest, on average, ranking him in the 100th percentile among running backs.
Derrick Henry has garnered 85.4% of his offense's carries this year, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
The Tennessee Titans O-line grades out as the 7th-best in the league this year at opening holes for runners.
The Kansas City Chiefs defensive ends grade out as the 4th-worst DE corps in football this year when it comes to stopping the run.

Favors Under

The Titans are a big 13.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards an extreme passing game script.
THE BLITZ projects this game to have the 4th-lowest volume of plays run out of all the games this week at 125.3 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in football this year, totaling a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

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