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Derrick Henry
NFL · Player Props
Derrick Henry
RB · Tennessee Titans
Carries
Houston Texans vs Tennessee Titans · Week 8, 2022 Updated Oct 30, 2022 8:01 PM UTC
NFL Props Derrick Henry Carries

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-150/+115).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 22.5 @ -115 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -150.

Favors Over
  • THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans as the 2nd-most run-centric team among all teams this week with a 52.3% run rate, accounting for their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to total 24.8 carries in this week's contest, on average, ranking in the 100th percentile among RBs.
  • The Houston Texans linebackers profile as the worst LB corps in the league this year with their run defense.
  • The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their plays outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.
Favors Under
  • THE BLITZ projects this game to see the 3rd-lowest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 124.3 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
  • The Tennessee Titans have called the 3rd-least plays in the league this year, averaging a mere 52.5 plays per game.
  • This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, increased pass volume, increased touchdown potential, and increased passing effectiveness.
  • THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to be a much smaller part of his team's rushing attack this week (74.0% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (87.0% in games he has played).
  • The Tennessee Titans have faced a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, 2nd-most in football. Positioning an extra defender near the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the expense of better passing efficiency.
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