Derrick Henry Carries - Player Prop Bet Week 13

My Account Log Out

reorder

Derrick Henry

NFL · Player Props

Derrick Henry

RB · Tennessee Titans

Carries

Philadelphia Eagles vs Tennessee Titans · Week 13, 2022

Updated Dec 5, 2022 12:46 AM UTC

Analysis

Derrick Henry Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-109/-125).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 20.5 @ -117 before it was bet up to 21.5 @ -109.

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects the Tennessee Titans to be the 9th-most run-centric offense on the slate this week with a 44.5% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects the Titans to run the 7th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 66.3 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.
THE BLITZ projects Derrick Henry to garner 24.1 carries this week, on average, placing him in the 100th percentile among RBs.
Derrick Henry has been given 85.1% of his team's carries this year, ranking him in the 99th percentile among running backs.
The Tennessee Titans have gone no-huddle on 11.3% of their play-calls outside the two-minute warning since the start of last season (10th-most in the league). This speeds up the pace, resulting in more volume and stat accumulation.

Favors Under

The Titans are a 4.5-point underdog in this week's game, which points towards a passing game script.
The Tennessee Titans have run the least plays in the league this year, averaging a lowly 52.7 plays per game.
The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends rank as the best group of DEs in the league this year when it comes to defending the run.
The Tennessee Titans have gone up against a stacked the box on 26.4% of their plays since the start of last season, most in the NFL. Positioning an extra defender close to the line of scrimmage improves run-stopping at the cost of better passing efficiency.

More Derrick Henry Props Data by WriteNow™

About WriteNow