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D'Ernest Johnson

D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 23.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 23.5 @ -120 before it was bet up to 23.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

While D'Ernest Johnson has been responsible for 15.9% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Jacksonville's run game in this game at 27.1%.

D'Ernest Johnson has rushed for many more adjusted yards per game (17.0) this season than he did last season (7.0).

D'Ernest Johnson's 4.2 adjusted yards per carry this year marks a meaningful progression in his running prowess over last year's 2.4 figure.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jaguars to run on 38.7% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

The Packers defense has produced the 10th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, yielding just 4.51 adjusted yards-per-carry (YPC).

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