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D'Ernest Johnson

D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 7

Jacksonville Jaguars vs New England Patriots

D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 30.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 29.5 @ -110 before it was bet up to 30.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's line implies a rushing game script for the Jaguars, who are favored by 6.5 points.

The model projects D'Ernest Johnson to be much more involved in his offense's ground game in this week's game (32.2% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (12.5% in games he has played).

When it comes to the linebackers' role in defending against the run, New England's collection of LBs has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 4th-worst in the league. in the league.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

Our trusted projections expect the Jaguars to be the 4th-least run-focused team in the NFL (adjusted for context) right now with a 35.9% run rate.

The predictive model expects the Jaguars to run the 5th-fewest total plays on the slate this week with 62.4 plays, given their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

The Jaguars have run the 7th-fewest plays in the NFL this year, totaling a measly 54.2 plays per game.

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