D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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D'Ernest Johnson

NFL · Player Props

D'Ernest Johnson

RB · Jacksonville Jaguars

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Cincinnati Bengals · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 5, 2023 12:11 AM UTC

Analysis

D'Ernest Johnson Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 21.5 (-135/+105).

Key Factors

Favors Over

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 10.5-point favorite in this game.
Based on their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the model projects the Jacksonville Jaguars to run on 46.2% of their plays: the 4th-greatest rate among all teams this week.
The 8th-highest number of plays in football have been called by the Jacksonville Jaguars this year (a monstrous 60.3 per game on average).
The predictive model expects D'Ernest Johnson to be much more involved in his team's running game in this week's contest (19.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (7.9% in games he has played).
This year, the formidable Cincinnati Bengals run defense has conceded a mere 4.96 adjusted yards-per-carry to opposing squads: the 30th-smallest rate in the league.

Favors Under

The projections expect this game to see the smallest number of plays run among all games this week at 124.1 plays, based on the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The Jaguars O-line ranks as the worst in the league last year at blocking for rushers.

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