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D'Ernest Johnson

D'Ernest Johnson Carries
Player Prop Week 8

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Green Bay Packers

D'Ernest Johnson Carries Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

Our trusted projections expect the Jacksonville Jaguars to run the 8th-most offensive plays among all teams this week with 65.4 plays, based on their underlying propensities and game dynamics.

While D'Ernest Johnson has been responsible for 15.9% of his team's run game usage in games he has played this year, the model projects him to be a more integral piece of Jacksonville's run game in this game at 27.1%.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

An extreme rushing game script is indicated by the Jaguars being a massive 7-point favorite in this week's game.

Accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Jaguars to run on 38.7% of their downs: the 7th-lowest frequency on the slate this week.

The Jacksonville Jaguars have called the 7th-fewest plays in the league this year, totaling just 54.4 plays per game.

The forecast calls for 4-mph wind in this game. Low wind typically means increased pass volume, and lower rush volume, increased touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.

When it comes to the safeties' role in stopping the run, Green Bay's unit has been fantastic this year, grading out as the 2nd-best in football.

More D'Ernest Johnson Player Props

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