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Derius Davis

Derius Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 19

Houston Texans vs Los Angeles Chargers

Derius Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 6.5 @ -120 before it was bet down to 3.5 @ -110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 62.2% rate of passing the ball (context-neutralized) this year, the 10th-most pass-heavy team in the league has been the Los Angeles Chargers.

Given the game dynamics and the underlying traits of each team, this contest is anticipated by the projection model to have just 127.7 plays on offense run: the fewest on the slate this week.

The air attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and effectiveness) stand to benefit from the still "weather" conditions (meaning no wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may suffer.

Derius Davis has notched far more air yards this season (5.0 per game) than he did last season (-2.0 per game).

Derius Davis ranks as one of the most reliable receivers in football, catching an excellent 86.3% of passes thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 87th percentile among wideouts.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

A rushing game script is indicated by the Chargers being a 3-point favorite this week.

The Chargers have run the 2nd-fewest plays in football this year, averaging a mere 55.5 plays per game.

With a top-tier 15.3% Route Participation Rate (6th percentile) this year, Derius Davis stands as one of the wideouts with the most usage in the league.

Derius Davis comes in as one of the worst wide receivers in the game this year, averaging just 11.0 adjusted yards per game while ranking in the 9th percentile among wide receivers.

This year, the strong Houston Texans defense has given up a meager 58.5% Adjusted Completion Rate to opposing WRs: the lowest rate in the league.

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