Derius Davis Receiving Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Derius Davis

NFL · Player Props

Derius Davis

WR · Los Angeles Chargers

Receiving Yards

New York Jets vs Los Angeles Chargers · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 7, 2023 12:46 AM EST

Analysis

Derius Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 13.5 (+100/-130).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -132 before it was bet down to 13.5 @ -130.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The projections expect the Los Angeles Chargers to call the 4th-most plays on offense on the slate this week with 66.1 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the Chargers offensive strategy to skew 2.4% more towards the run game than it did last season (context-neutralized) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.
This week's line suggests a rushing game script for the Chargers, who are favored by 3 points.
The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers as the 2nd-least pass-heavy offense among all teams this week with a 59.2% pass rate, given their underlying traits and matchup dynamics.
Opposing quarterbacks teams have been afraid to test the pass defense of the New York Jets, averaging the fewest attempts in the NFL (a lowly 34.0 per game) this year.
With a top-tier 8.6% Route Participation Rate (7th percentile) this year, Derius Davis rates as one of the WRs with the biggest workloads in the NFL.

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