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Derius Davis

Derius Davis Receiving Yards
Player Prop Week 11

Green Bay Packers vs Los Angeles Chargers

Derius Davis Receiving Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 17.5 (-115/-115).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 20.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 17.5 @ -115.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The predictive model expects the Los Angeles Chargers to be the 5th-most pass-focused team in football (adjusted for context) right now with a 64.8% pass rate.

Given their underlying play style and game dynamics, the Chargers are forecasted by our trusted projection set to call 66.7 offensive plays in this contest: the most among all teams this week.

Derius Davis profiles as one of the best possession receivers in football, catching an excellent 88.9% of balls thrown his way (adjusted for context) this year, grading out in the 95th percentile among WRs.

With a fantastic 9.00 yards-after-the-catch (YAC) (95th percentile) this year, Derius Davis stands among the top WRs in the NFL in the NFL in space.

When it comes to defensive tackles pass-rushing, Green Bay's DT corps has been dreadful this year, projecting as the 6th-worst in the NFL.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The leading projections forecast the Los Angeles Chargers offensive scheme to lean 2.6% more towards rushing than it did last season (adjusted for context) with offensive coordinator Kellen Moore now calling the plays.

The Chargers are a 3-point favorite this week, indicating a running game script.

Opposing teams have averaged 33.1 pass attempts per game vs. the Packers defense this year: 7th-fewest in the league.

Derius Davis has run a route on 11.1% of his offense's dropbacks this year, placing him in the 6th percentile when it comes to wideouts.

When it comes to air yards, Derius Davis ranks in just the 4th percentile among wide receivers this year, with just -3.0 per game.

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