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Derek Carr

Derek Carr TD Passes
Player Prop Week 17

Tampa Bay Buccaneers vs New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+110/-135).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ +115 before it was bet up to 1.5 @ +110.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The projections expect the Saints to call the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.9 plays, given their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have run the 5th-most plays in football this year, averaging a massive 60.8 plays per game.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has been something of pass funnel this year, allowing opposing offenses to attempt the 4th-most passes in the league (39.5 per game) this year.

Derek Carr's passing accuracy has been refined this season, with his Adjusted Completion% rising from 61.4% to 65.9%.

The Tampa Bay Buccaneers defense has surrendered the 10th-most TDs through the air in the NFL: 1.40 per game this year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

In regards to pocket protection (and the influence it has on all passing attack statistics), the O-line of the Saints ranks as the 4th-worst in the league this year.

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