My Account Log Out

reorder

Derek Carr

Derek Carr TD Passes
Player Prop Week 16

Los Angeles Rams vs New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr TD Passes Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (+150/-180).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

This game's spread suggests a passing game script for the Saints, who are -4.5-point underdogs.

Given their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics, our trusted projections expect the Saints to pass on 60.8% of their opportunities: the 9th-highest rate among all teams this week.

Our trusted projections expect the New Orleans Saints to run the 6th-most total plays among all teams this week with 67.2 plays, accounting for their underlying play style and game dynamics.

The 3rd-largest volume of plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a massive 61.4 per game on average).

In this week's game, Derek Carr is anticipated by the model to have the 6th-most pass attempts out of all QBs with 37.7.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

With a 48.6% rate of passing the ball near the end zone (in a neutral context) this year, the 9th-least pass-heavy team in football in this setting has been the New Orleans Saints.

The New Orleans O-line profiles as the 6th-worst in the NFL this year in protecting the QB, which has a negative impact on all pass game metrics across the board.

Opposing quarterbacks have completed passes at the 3rd-lowest clip in the NFL against the Rams defense this year (63.6% Adjusted Completion%).

More Derek Carr Player Props

© 2022 EV Analytics | Data by WriteNow™