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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 3

New Orleans Saints vs Philadelphia Eagles

 
 
 
Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 0.5 (-155/+120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 0.5 @ -125 before it was bet up to 0.5 @ -155.
FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • The projections expect the New Orleans Saints to be the 8th-most run-heavy team in the league (in a neutral context) at the moment with a 42.7% run rate.
  • The Philadelphia Eagles defensive ends profile as the 2nd-worst group of DEs in football since the start of last season in regard to defending the run.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • A passing game script is suggested by the Saints being a -3-point underdog in this game.
  • At the moment, the 4th-most sluggish paced team in football (context-neutralized) according to the projections is the New Orleans Saints.
  • The pass attacks of both teams (as it relates to both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (read: zero wind) inside this dome, while ground volume may go down.
  • The projections expect Derek Carr to total 1.5 carries in this game, on average: the 3rd-fewest among all QBs.
  • With a dreadful record of 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (10th percentile), Derek Carr places as one of the worst running QBs in the NFL since the start of last season.

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