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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 2

Dallas Cowboys vs New Orleans Saints

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-120).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -115 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -120.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

The model projects this game to see the 2nd-largest volume of plays run on the slate this week at 134.3 plays, based on the play styles of each team and game dynamics.

The New Orleans Saints have called the 3rd-most plays in the NFL since the start of last season, averaging a monstrous 60.7 plays per game.

The Cowboys defensive tackles grade out as the 3rd-worst collection of DTs in football since the start of last season when it comes to run defense.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

The Saints are a 6-point underdog in this week's game, indicating a passing game script.

Accounting for their underlying strategic approach and matchup dynamics, the predictive model expects the Saints to run on 38.7% of their chances: the 6th-lowest clip among all teams this week.

The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) ought to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may drop.

In this week's contest, Derek Carr is predicted by the projection model to accumulate the 3rd-fewest carries among all QBs with 1.7.

With an atrocious total of 4.0 adjusted rushing yards per game (13th percentile), Derek Carr rates as one of the bottom running quarterbacks in the NFL since the start of last season.

More Derek Carr Player Props

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