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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 1

New Orleans Saints vs Carolina Panthers

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-100/-120).

The money has been on the Over as it opened 1.5 @ -116 before it was bet up to 2.5 @ -100.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:

With a 5-point advantage, the Saints are favored in this game, suggesting more of a focus on rushing than their normal game plan.

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to run the 8th-most offensive plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, based on their underlying tendencies and game dynamics.

The Saints have run the 3rd-most plays in the league last year, averaging a monstrous 60.9 plays per game.

Opposing offenses have run for the 4th-most adjusted yards in the league (134 per game) versus the Panthers defense last year.

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:

This game will be played in a dome—meaning no wind, higher pass volume, higher TD potential, and increased passing effectiveness.

In this week's game, Derek Carr is predicted by the predictive model to earn the 2nd-fewest carries out of all quarterbacks with 1.6.

Derek Carr is more comfortable as a passer and has accounted for just 3.3% of his team's run game usage last year, placing him in the 13th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks.

With an awful tally of 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (13th percentile), Derek Carr rates as one of the weakest running QBs in the league last year.

Derek Carr profiles as one of the worst QBs in the NFL at picking up extra rushing yardage, averaging just 1.09 yards-after-contact last year while grading out in the 16th percentile.

More Derek Carr Player Props

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