Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Chicago Bears · Week 9, 2023

Updated Nov 5, 2023 9:06 PM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 1.5 (-110/-118).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 2.5 @ -117 before it was bet down to 1.5 @ -118.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The Saints are an enormous 9.5-point favorite in this week's contest, indicating an extreme rushing game script.
The 2nd-most plays in the league have been run by the Saints this year (a monstrous 65.5 per game on average).

Favors Under

The model projects this game to see the 4th-smallest number of plays run out of all the games this week at 128.1 plays, accounting for the tendencies of each team and game dynamics.
The passing attacks of both teams (including both volume and efficiency) stand to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (i.e. no wind) inside this dome, while run volume may go down.
Our trusted projections expect Derek Carr to earn 2.0 carries in this contest, on balance: the fewest among all quarterbacks.
Derek Carr is not much of a rushing QB and has accounted for a measly 3.4% of his team's rushing play calls this year, ranking him in the 12th percentile among quarterbacks.
Derek Carr has averaged just 3.0 adjusted rushing yards per game this year, one of the lowest marks in the NFL when it comes to QBs (3rd percentile).

More Derek Carr Props Data by WriteNow™

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