Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 6

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Houston Texans vs New Orleans Saints · Week 6, 2023

Updated Oct 16, 2023 12:06 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 2.5 (-110/-110).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 3.5 @ -105 before it was bet down to 2.5 @ -110.

Key Factors

Favors Over

The model projects the New Orleans Saints to run the most plays on offense among all teams this week with 68.6 plays, based on their underlying traits and game dynamics.
The Saints have run the 8th-most plays in football this year, totaling a monstrous 61.2 plays per game.
As it relates to the defensive tackles' role in defending against the run, Houston's group of DTs has been easily exploitable this year, ranking as the worst in the league. in the league.

Favors Under

Given their underlying play style and matchup dynamics, the projections expect the Saints to run on 37.3% of their chances: the 4th-lowest frequency among all teams this week.
This game will be played in a dome—which means no wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing efficiency.
The projections expect Derek Carr to accumulate 1.9 rush attempts in this week's contest, on average: the 4th-fewest out of all QBs.
Comprising a measly 2.6% of his team's carries this year (15th percentile when it comes to quarterbacks), Derek Carr's one-dimensionality makes him no threat as a ball-carrier.
Derek Carr has grinded out a mere 3.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground this year, one of the lowest marks in football among QBs (6th percentile).

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