Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 13

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

New Orleans Saints vs Detroit Lions · Week 13, 2023

Updated Dec 4, 2023 3:41 AM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 3.5 (-120/-110).

Key Factors

Favors Over

Given the game dynamics and the underlying approaches of each team, this contest is projected by our trusted projection set to see 133.8 offensive plays called: the 2nd-highest number on the slate this week.
The New Orleans Saints have called the 2nd-most plays in the league this year, totaling a monstrous 63.7 plays per game.

Favors Under

The Saints are a 4-point underdog in this week's contest, which points towards a passing game script.
The predictive model expects the Saints as the 4th-least run-heavy offense on the slate this week with a 37.3% run rate, based on their underlying tendencies and matchup dynamics.
This game will be played in a dome—meaning zero wind, higher pass volume, higher touchdown potential, and better passing effectiveness.
In this game, Derek Carr is projected by the predictive model to earn the 2nd-fewest rush attempts out of all QBs with 1.6.
Comprising a measly 4.0% of his offense's run game usage this year (16th percentile among QBs), Derek Carr's lack of speed makes him no threat in the run game.

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