Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 10

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · New Orleans Saints

Rushing Yards

Minnesota Vikings vs New Orleans Saints · Week 10, 2023

Updated Nov 13, 2023 1:06 AM EST

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (+140/-180).

The money has been on the Under as it opened 5.5 @ -160 before it was bet down to 5.5 @ -180.

Key Factors

Favors Over

Our trusted projections expect the Saints to call the 6th-most total plays on the slate this week with 65.8 plays, given their underlying strategic approach and game dynamics.
The 2nd-most plays in the NFL have been run by the Saints this year (a whopping 64.7 per game on average).

Favors Under

The leading projections forecast the New Orleans Saints as the 8th-least run-centric team among all teams this week with a 40.2% run rate, accounting for their underlying play style and matchup dynamics.
The pass attacks of both teams (including both volume and effectiveness) figure to benefit from the calm "weather" conditions (as in no wind) inside this dome, while rush volume may drop-off.
Our trusted projections expect Derek Carr to accumulate 1.7 carries in this contest, on average: the 2nd-fewest out of all QBs.
Taking on just 3.9% of his offense's run game usage this year (13th percentile when it comes to QBs), Derek Carr's immobility makes him no threat on the ground.
With a lousy total of 4.0 adjusted yards per game on the ground (8th percentile), Derek Carr rates among the weakest rushing quarterbacks in the league this year.

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