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Derek Carr

Derek Carr Rushing Yards
Player Prop Week 9

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders

 
 
 
Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE OVER:
  • THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (9.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.2% in games he has played).
  • The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
  • Derek Carr's running effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 6.82 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.73 figure last year.

  • FACTORS THAT FAVOR THE UNDER:
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.7% run rate.
  • THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
  • Derek Carr has been among the weakest QBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.73 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 20th percentile.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering just 4.20 yards-per-carry.
  • The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 5th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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