Derek Carr Rushing Yards - Player Prop Bet Week 9

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Derek Carr

NFL · Player Props

Derek Carr

QB · Las Vegas Raiders

Rushing Yards

Jacksonville Jaguars vs Las Vegas Raiders · Week 9, 2022

Updated Nov 6, 2022 5:51 PM UTC

Analysis

Derek Carr Rushing Yards Prop is currently Over/Under 5.5 (-110/-120).

Key Factors

Favors Over

THE BLITZ projects Derek Carr to be much more involved in his team's running game this week (9.6% projected Carry Share) than he has been this year (2.2% in games he has played).
The Las Vegas Raiders offensive line profiles as the best in football this year at opening holes for rushers.
Derek Carr's running effectiveness has gotten a boost this year, totaling 6.82 yards-per-carry compared to a mere 3.73 figure last year.

Favors Under

THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders to be the 9th-least run-centric offense in the NFL (in a neutral context) right now with a 35.7% run rate.
THE BLITZ projects the Las Vegas Raiders as the 6th-slowest paced defense in football (adjusted for context) at the moment, causing opposing offenses to average 29.05 seconds per snap.
Derek Carr has been among the weakest QBs in the NFL at generating extra rushing yardage, averaging a measly 0.73 yards-after-contact this year while ranking in the 20th percentile.
The Jacksonville Jaguars defense owns the 6th-best efficiency against opposing run games this year, surrendering just 4.20 yards-per-carry.
The Jacksonville Jaguars linebackers project as the 5th-best group of LBs in the NFL this year with their run defense.

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